Balochistan has recorded a sharp shortfall in recent rainfall, raising concerns about drought in Quetta and several other districts. Over the past three months the province saw 41.9% below-normal precipitation, receiving just 8.6 mm of rain in September, October and November compared with an expected 14.8 mm. Temperatures over the same period averaged about 0.9°C above normal.
The Meteorological Department has issued a drought advisory (pre-alert), noting a decline in rainfall across western and southwestern Balochistan and a rise in consecutive dry days from May through November. Forecasts through February 2026 indicate rainfall in the affected areas will likely remain below normal, while higher-than-usual temperatures are expected to exacerbate dry conditions. Districts at particular risk include Quetta, Chagai, Gwadar, Kech, Kharan, Mastung, Nushki, Pishin, Panjgur, Qilla Abdullah and Washuk.
Local authorities and communities face mounting pressure as water availability diminishes and agricultural and pastoral livelihoods are threatened. The combination of reduced precipitation and warmer temperatures tends to accelerate soil moisture loss, strain water supplies and increase vulnerability for populations dependent on rain-fed agriculture and livestock.
A 2024 UNDP report underscores Balochistan’s climate vulnerability and describes drought as a recurring, defining hazard for the province. The report highlights a history of prolonged dry spells, including an especially severe extended drought from 1995 to 2018. In January 2019, roughly 1.8 million people were affected by moderate to severe drought after annual precipitation fell about 24.4% below expected levels, according to the same analysis.
Precipitation records show seasonal patterns: northwestern Balochistan is prone to moderate to severe winter droughts linked to variability in westerly weather systems, while summer droughts are tied to weak monsoon rains, especially in the north-eastern and eastern parts of the province. Areas repeatedly hit by drought include Kalat, Chagai, Naukundi and Zhob.
With forecasts pointing to continued below-normal rainfall and warmer temperatures ahead, the focus remains on monitoring, early warning, and preparedness measures to protect water resources, livelihoods and vulnerable communities. This article is based on a syndicated news feed and published as received.
